Description

This analysis provides a forecast of ICP prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-02-09 0.002235 0.002362 0.002497 0.002651 0.002824 0.003012 0.003235
2025-02-16 0.002038 0.002213 0.002408 0.002645 0.002928 0.003261 0.003691
2025-02-23 0.001939 0.002150 0.002396 0.002708 0.003104 0.003604 0.004308
2025-03-02 0.001819 0.002047 0.002319 0.002677 0.003151 0.003783 0.004741
2025-03-09 0.001712 0.001946 0.002232 0.002619 0.003149 0.003888 0.005083
2025-03-16 0.001667 0.001917 0.002231 0.002667 0.003291 0.004209 0.005828
2025-03-23 0.001624 0.001887 0.002222 0.002702 0.003414 0.004520 0.006646
2025-03-30 0.001563 0.001829 0.002173 0.002675 0.003438 0.004675 0.007223
2025-04-06 0.001494 0.001756 0.002098 0.002604 0.003389 0.004695 0.007532
2025-04-13 0.001445 0.001707 0.002054 0.002573 0.003396 0.004815 0.008102
2025-04-20 0.001367 0.001616 0.001946 0.002441 0.003230 0.004597 0.007800
2025-04-27 0.001337 0.001590 0.001927 0.002442 0.003280 0.004788 0.008597
2025-05-04 0.001323 0.001584 0.001939 0.002493 0.003427 0.005207 0.010317
2025-05-11 0.001294 0.001559 0.001922 0.002498 0.003495 0.005486 0.011880
2025-05-18 0.001284 0.001557 0.001939 0.002559 0.003670 0.006045 0.015218
2025-05-25 0.001250 0.001522 0.001904 0.002532 0.003679 0.006221 0.017200
2025-06-01 0.001212 0.001478 0.001856 0.002480 0.003635 0.006254 0.018516
2025-06-08 0.001201 0.001474 0.001865 0.002524 0.003784 0.006835 0.025189
2025-06-15 0.001188 0.001465 0.001867 0.002555 0.003912 0.007412 0.035909
2025-06-22 0.001162 0.001437 0.001837 0.002530 0.003917 0.007623 0.044766
2025-06-29 0.001128 0.001396 0.001787 0.002467 0.003833 0.007527 0.047582
2025-07-06 0.001104 0.001369 0.001758 0.002438 0.003824 0.007683 0.060066
2025-07-13 0.001060 0.001312 0.001680 0.002319 0.003604 0.007083 0.045066